The following is a talk I will present to a introductory financial accounting class. This piece is dedicated to Ms.
Hopwood-Jones.
The source for this
discussion comes from a book titled "Financial Shenanigans" by Howard
M. Schilit. The discussion is aimed at explaining accounting tricks public
companies use to inflate their financial numbers in order to meet the
expectation of analysts. Management of public companies are often pressured by
analysts and investors to "make the numbers" every quarter.
Therefore, some may cheat to meet a net income target for a certain quarter. A
little cheating during one quarter can snowball into a lot of cheating (i.e.
Enron is a famous example). How does these corporate executives cook the books?
One may think they are rocket scientists but with a little accounting knowledge
you learned from Ms. Hopwood-Jones's class, you too can detect accounting
frauds.
Earnings[1]
(Income Statement) Manipulations:
Investors often
scrutinize a public company's quarterly earnings report very carefully. They
often cheer when a company can meet or beat the consensus earnings (net income)
estimate. If a company failed to meet the consensus estimate, the share price
often declines. How do corporate
executives create "fake" earnings? They often just play around with
the fundamental income statement equation as listed below.
Revenue - Expenses = Net Income
Since
net income is calculated by subtracting expenses from revenue, corporate
management can manipulate net income by inflating revenues or making expenses
disappear.
Trick #1: Recording Revenue Too
Soon
A common trick is to
record revenue early before it is actually earned. In accounting, the revenue
recognition rule is used to determine if revenue is actually earned (see table
1 below for more details).
A common trick is to recognize
revenues that belong to a future accounting period. For example, if company A
is a magazine publisher that collected $100 for a 4-year subscription fee from
a customer, how much revenue can the company recognize in year 1? The answer is
only $25 because the other $75 should go into "unearned/deferred revenue"
(a liability account) since the $75 does not meet the GAAP revenue recognition
rule. Nonetheless, corporate executives often trick their auditors by using
fancy wording to convince auditors that these 4-year subscriptions are actually
1 year subscriptions. Therefore, it is vital
for investors to read the footnotes to financial statements. Read the footnotes
carefully!
One interesting method
to boost revenue is by billing the customer for work not completed yet. In the
real world, most transactions are not black and white as you see in accounting
textbooks and revenue is often recognized over several accounting periods
(construction industry is the common example). Since revenue is a credit
account, they need a debit account to balance the books. Since customers generally
don't pay cash unless the required work is completed, a common account to debit
is account receivables. Therefore, be wary of any abnormal increases in
accounts receivables or any receivable accounts. Also, if the accounts
receivable turnover ratio (revenue/accounts receivables) starts to slow while
revenues are still growing, it is a red flag and the company is probably
inflating revenue by borrowing future revenue.
Table
1: Revenue Recognition under IFRS and US GAAP[2]
IFRS Revenue Recognition
Criteria
|
US GAAP Revenue Recognition
Criteria
|
(1)
The amount of revenue can be measured reliably
|
(1)
There is evidence of an arrangement between buyer and seller. For instance,
this would disallow the practice of recognizing revenue in a period by
delivering the product just before the end of an accounting period and then
completing a sales contract after the period end
|
(2) It is probable that the economic benefits
associated with the transaction will flow to the entity
|
(2)
The product has been delivered or the service has been rendered. For
instance, this would preclude revenue recognition when the product has been
shipped but the risk and rewards have not actually passed to the buyer
|
(3) The stage of completion of transaction at
the balance sheet date can be measured reliably
|
(3)
The price is determined or determinable. For instance, this would preclude a
company from recognizing revenue that is based on some contingency
|
(4) The costs incurred for the transaction and
the costs to complete the transaction can be measured reliably
|
(4)
The seller is reasonably sure of collecting money. For instance, this would
preclude a company from recognizing revenue when the customer is unlikely to
pay
|
Source:
IASB and FASB
As shown in table 1, a
company cannot recognize revenue unless the risk and rewards (economic
benefits) is transferred from the seller to the buyer. A trick used in the
1990s by Sunbeam is to use a technique called "bill and hold." In
essence, Sunbeam bills the customers and recognizes revenue despite the
products were held in Sunbeam's warehouses. Although this trick is difficult to
detect, a closer look at the revenue recognition footnote can discover
aggressive revenue recognition. Below is the paragraph disclosed in Sunbeam's
annual report:
"In limited
circumstances, at the customers' request the company may sell seasonal products
on a bill-and-hold basis provided that goods are completed, packaged and ready
for shipment, such goods are segregated and the risks of ownership and legal
title have been passed to the customer."
With the grills sitting
at Sunbeam's warehouses, there is no doubt that the economic benefits have not
been passed onto the buyers despite Sunbeam tried using the words "risk of
ownership and legal title have been passed to the customer." Also,
customers often do not request goods on a bill-and-hold basis. Always be
suspicious when the words "bill-and-hold" comes up in the financial
footnotes.
Finally, another trick
is to inflate revenues is to extend generous terms to buyers despite low creditworthiness,
which fails criteria (4) listed in table 1 since the probability of collection
is low. An acceleration of revenue along with growth in accounts or note
receivable is a red flag. Although not all red flags imply revenue
manipulation, investors should be careful when these red flag appear. If the
company is showing abnormal growth in accounts or note receivable while also
disclosing that it is extending credit to customers with generous terms, watch
out!
Trick # 2: Boosting Income Using
One Time Items
One-time items, also
known as "extraordinary items", are often used to boost net income.
By definition one-time items should occur infrequently such as gain/loss from
sale of equipment[3]
or damage incurred from a natural disaster.
Corporate management
often tell investors to ignore one-time items because they do not reflect the
continuous business operations. They
tell investors to focus on normalized income, which is often called
"operating income." You will often see a corporate income statement
organized as follows:
Table
2: Sample Corporate Income Statement[4]
Revenue
|
XXX
|
COGS
|
XXX
|
Gross
Profit
|
XXX
|
Operating
Expenses
|
XXX
|
Operating
Income
|
XXX
|
One-time Items
|
XXX
|
Earnings
Before Tax
|
XXX
|
Income Tax Expense
|
XXX
|
Net
Income
|
XXX
|
Investors do pay more
attention to operating income than the net income number. Therefore, management
has the opportunity to inflate operating income by shifting positive benefits
from one-time items above the operating income line and shifting normal
expenses below the operating line. The former outcome can be achieved by
shifting a gain from the sale of an asset above the operating income line as
reduction to operating expenses. For example in 1999, IBM sold a business to
AT&T but instead of disclosing the gain on the sale in the one-time items
line on the income statement, IBM decided to book the $4.06 billion gain on
sale as a contra expense. The effect of IBM's accounting decision significantly
reduced operating expense by $4.06 billion (reducing the $18.8 billion
operating expenses to only $14.7 billion!). Investors thought IBM found a magic
way to reduce operating expenses and decided to give a higher valuation[5]
for the stock only to find out later that those expense reductions didn't
continue into future periods. Savvy investors reading the financial footnote
would have noticed this trick because the company, by law, had to disclose how
the sale of a business is accounted for. Companies often bury these unwanted
disclosures deep in the footnotes since they know most investors never bother
to read 100 pages of financial footnotes. However, it pays to goes through the
footnotes of financial statements!
Another genius method
is to create a continuous stream of income from the sale of an asset. Because
income from a one-time sale is less impressive than a continuous stream of
income, corporate management will aim to create a continuous stream of income
from the sale of an asset. Let's use the traditional debits and credits to
explain this trick. Assuming an asset owned by company I is valued at
$1,000,000 (fair-value). Instead of selling it at $1,000,000, company I sells
the asset to company M at only $800,000. However, company I requires company M
to pay for future products at above market prices to make up for the $200,000
difference. Table 3 shows the correct way to account for this transaction while
table 4 shows the inflated approach.
Table 3: Correct way
to account the transaction by company I
Cash
|
$800,000
|
|
Receivable (from Company M)
|
$200,000
|
|
Asset Sold (Book Value)[6]
|
$700,000
|
|
Gain on Sale of Asset
|
$300,000
|
When the inflated
prices are paid by company M in the future, the following should occur:
Cash
|
$200,000
|
|
Receivable (from Company M)
|
$200,000
|
Table 4: How to Create
A Revenue Stream From One-Time Sale
Cash
|
$800,000
|
|
Asset Sold (Book Value)
|
$700,000
|
|
Gain on Sale of Asset
|
$100,000
|
When the inflated
prices are paid by company M in the future, company I records:
Cash
|
$200,000
|
|
Revenue
|
$200,000
|
Magically, company I
created $200,000 of revenue that should have been recorded as a gain on sale
from a prior accounting period. To create a continuous revenue stream, the
company could have recognized the $200,000 more slowly, such as $20,000 for 10
reporting periods.
This example is
actually real. Company I was Intel and company M was Marvell Technology and
this transaction took place back in November 2006. Again, the only way to have detected this
fraud was to look in the footnotes when Marvell disclosed that it will pay
above market prices for Intel's products in future periods. When analyzing any
transaction, always try to understand the underlying economics and consider
which accounts are affected. It's critical for investors to understand their
debits and credits.
Trick #3: Shifting Current
Expenses to a Later Period
Two
examples will be illustrated for this trick. The first example is capitalizing
expenses. In order to understand the nature of this action, let's review the
fundamental accounting equation:
Assets = Liabilities +
Shareholder's Equity[7] (1)
Now we can expand
equation (1) above by expanding the Shareholder's Equity section as follows:
Assets = Liabilities + Beginning
Shareholder's Equity + Revenue - Expense (2)[8]
In order to decrease
expenses, the asset side must increase in order for equation (2) to remain in
balance. How can a company increase assets to reduce expenses? Let's step back
and revisit the accounting rules for a fixed asset. When a fixed asset is
purchased, is the entire amount expensed on the income statement? The answer is
obviously "no" since that action would distort the trend in net
income by having years with high net income when there are no purchases of
fixed assets and years with low net income when there are purchases of fixed
assets. Accounting rule states that a fixed assets must be capitalized (put on
the balance sheet) and the cost of the asset is allocated, by reporting costs
in the income statement, over its useful life. However, only assets that
provide economic benefits for more than one accounting period can be
capitalized. Normal operating expenses should be expensed on the income
statement. Nonetheless, managers who wish to reduce expenses will often
capitalize normal operating expenses in order to boost net income.
Let's use debits and
credits to explain this trick. To account for $1 million of normal operating
expenses, the following should be recorded:
Operating Expense
|
$1,000,000
|
|
Cash/Accounts Payable
|
$1,000,000
|
To defer a portion of
the $1 million expense, consider what happens if the $1 million is capitalized
and recognized over 2 accounting period instead of 1.
Fixed Asset
|
$1,000,000
|
|
Cash/Accounts Payable
|
$1,000,000
|
Depreciation Expense
|
$500,000
|
|
Accumulated Depreciation
|
$500,000
|
By recognizing the $1
million expense over 2 periods, net income is overstated in the 1st period by
$500,000. Because the effect reverses in the 2nd period, a company that
capitalize expenses is often forced to repeat the trick over and over again
until it goes bust. This was the case with WorldCom in 2002.
Capitalizing expenses
is a simple trick, but shrewd investors can detect this fraud by looking at the
balance sheet instead of focusing exclusively on the income statement. If any
fixed asset is growing out of control and there is no good explanation in the
footnotes, management is probably capitalizing normal operating expenses. For
those grade 12 students who understand the cash flow statement, another method
to detect this fraud is look at free cash flow, which is defined as cash flow
from operations minus purchases of fixed assets, a line located in the cash
flow from investing section. If free cash flow declines rapidly, it is a red
flag.
Another method to
defer expense is to recognize them more slowly. Recall that
depreciation/amortization expense should be recognized by an amount equaling to [(cost-salvage)/useful life] if the straight line method is used. The
useful life number is often an estimate and accounting rules allow management
to use its best estimate as a proxy. Therefore, management can record a lower
expense by simply assuming a longer useful life of its asset. The only way to
detect this fraud is to compare the useful life (estimated by cost/annual depreciation expense) one company compared to the
industry average. If the assumed useful life of a particular asset is
significantly higher than the industry average, the company is probably making
an aggressive assumption regarding the useful life of its assets.
Trick #4: Hiding Expenses
Similar to how a
magician makes a rabbit disappear, corporate management often employ tricks to
make expenses disappear. The most simple trick to hide expenses is simply
failing to record accrued expenses. Let's apply what you learned in Ms.
Hopwood-Jones class on accrued expenses in the following example: company X
repaired a machine for company Y and bills company Y for $100. If company Y
does not pay in the current accounting period, an accrued expenses must be
recorded in Y's books.
Maintenance Expense
|
$100
|
|
Accounts Payable
|
$100
|
However, to avoid the
recognition of an expense, company Y simply ignores this adjusting entry, which
would boost income (by reducing expenses) for the current accounting period.
Although outside investors cannot detect this fraud without looking at the
internal books, the expense recognition footnote may provide clues about aggressive
accounting for expenses.
Another method to hide
expenses is making aggressive assumption on "soft expenses" like
warranty expenses. Soft expenses often require the significant use of
management's judgement in determining the amount booked in the financials.
Let's illustrate with an example of warranty expense. Under GAAP, the company must record a warranty expense for
each accounting period using past experience as a proxy, similar to the
accounting for bad debt.
To
illustrate with an example of warranty accounting. Let's see the following
entries:
Warranty Expense
|
$1,000
|
|
Warranty Liability
|
$1,000
|
Warranty Liability
|
$900
|
|
Cash
|
$900
|
The first entry
records the $1,000 expense incurred while the second entry books the $900
actual claim during the period. The figures should be similar for the two
entries. Nevertheless, a company wishing to reduce current expenses may book a
lower warranty expense, such as booking only $500 in the prior example instead
of the $1,000 justified using past experience. The easiest method to hide
expenses is to assume a lower expense figure for these "soft
expenses" like warranty expense or bad debt expense.
Trick #5: Shifting Future
Expenses to an Earlier Period
This trick is to incur
the pain today while lowering expenses in future periods. Table 5 shows a
two-step process for expense recognition for balance sheet items. By accelerating
the expense recognition process, a company can recognize future expenses
upfront and incur zero expense in the future. Let's illustrate with an example
of an inventory write-down.
Table
5: Cost Recognition under a two-step progress
Step
1: Asset
|
Step
2: Expense
|
Prepaid
Insurance
|
Insurance
Expense
|
Inventory
|
COGS
|
Property,
Plant & Equipment
|
Depreciation/Amortization
Expense
|
Under GAAP,
inventories on the balance sheet are accounted for using the LCM (lower of cost
or market) approach. If the market value (market price less estimated costs
incurred to sell) is lower than the book value on the balance sheet, the
difference must be written down as an expense (often through COGS) on the
income statement. However, the market value used in the write-down is estimated
by management and they could use an unrealistically low
number so the expense recognized is higher than it should be. By writing down
inventories close to zero, similar to how Cisco wrote down $2.25 billion in
2001, companies can report very low COGS numbers in the future and inflate
their profit margins significantly.
Another creative
method to overload current expenses is to book a large "restructuring
expense." This is a common trick used by companies during difficult times.
By booking a large restructuring expense today, companies can release the
excessive amount into net income through a reduction of operating expenses. Again,
let's demonstrate with the use of debits and credits. Assuming company R
decides to fire 100 workers and need to pay $10,000 to each worker as a
severance expense, which will paid in a future period. The proper method to
account for the transaction is shown below.
(1)
Current period to recognize the expense:
Restructuring Expense (Wages)
|
$1,000,000
|
|
Wage Payable
|
$1,000,000
|
(2)
When Severance is paid at a later period:
Wage Payable
|
$1,000,000
|
|
Cash
|
$1,000,000
|
However,
because the $10,000 per worker is a "soft expense" estimated by
management, there is a strong incentive to overestimate, such as using $20,000
per worker.
(1)
Current period to recognize the expense:
Restructuring Expense (Wages)
|
$2,000,000
|
|
Wage Payable
|
$2,000,000
|
(2)
When Severance is paid at a later period and only $1,000,000 is paid:
Wage Payable
|
$2,000,000
|
|
Cash
|
$1,000,000
|
|
Wage Expense
|
$1,000,000
|
By
booking an extra $1,000,000 of restructuring expense in the current period, the
company can reduce wage expense by $1,000,000 in a future period when the
restructuring liability is extinguished. This is a creative method but fails to
conform to the basic matching rule under GAAP.
Conclusion:
Despite real world
accounting is more complicated than what you learned in Ms. Hopwood-Jones's
class, I believe everyone has the necessary tools to detect accounting frauds.
As stated many times in this article, the key is to read the footnotes
carefully so that you can detect aggressive accounting assumptions, whether it
is related to revenue, expenses or one-time items.
[1] The word "earnings" is often used in place of "net
income" when discussion financials of public traded companies (ones that
trade on a public exchange such as the TSX or NYSE).
[2] When an accounting
textbook uses the word "GAAP", it is referring to the old Canadian
GAAP rules. IFRS, the international standard, replaced Canadian GAAP in 2011.
Nonetheless, IFRS is quite different and US GAAP is closer to the old Canadian
GAAP.
[3] Recall that a
gain/loss is recorded from the sale of a fixed asset when the sale price is higher/lower
than the net book value (historical cost - accumulated depreciation)
[4] When you read
financial statements of public companies, the income statement is commonly
called the "statement of operations" or "statement of
earnings."
[5] Stocks valuation can
be explained by the P/E ratio which is market price of stock divided by its
earnings. Usually investors would use operating earnings (income) as the
denominator as those earnings are continuous in nature. Therefore, IBM's action
of moving a gain from sale of an asset above the operating income line inflates
operating income and increase the "E" in the P/E ratio, result in a
higher stock price.
[6] The net book value is
credited for the sake of simplicity. In reality, the asset account (historical
cost) is credited while the accumulated depreciation is debited.
[7] "Shareholder Equity" is the equivalent of "Owner's
Equity" and it is used for the equity account of a public traded company
[8] Assuming no dividends
(Owner's withdrawals) or share issuance (Owner's deposit)
[9] Salvage value is
ignored because it usually a negligible amount
Watch out for the two main culprits - early revenue recognition and deferral of expenses. The Numbers Game
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